PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeDecember 31 46%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
17K €
Liquidità
252,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+0.5%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
13 mag 26, 3:3531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
Esito scelto
December 3146%
Mercati Correlati
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
51,5K €Sì: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Russia military clash by...?
48,8K €December 31,: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
14,8K €Sì: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
129,9 €Sì: 19%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?
65 €Sì: 13.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?
43,3 €Sì: 43.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto News
No-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.News
Ukraine NATO Bid Doubt Surges: Polymarket Bets Narrow to NoBlockchain.News
Russia Sanctions British Teen Over Crypto Sanctions ReportBlockchain.News
Russia targets British 17-year-old for alleging digital assets were skirting sanctionsCointelegraph
Russia targets 17-year-old Browder over A7A5 crypto findingsCrypto NewsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.
- Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
- Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.