Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.7%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto13 lug 26, 11:06 UTC1 gen 50, 12:04 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsey Graham be Reelected?
Manifold MarketsWill an alleged male lover of Lindsey Graham come forward to the MSM at any time during the remainder of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDid Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein?
Manifold MarketsWill the Graham Act sanctions take effect in 2026?
KalshiRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if strong evidence emerges that Russia assassinated Lindsey Graham before January 1st 2050.
- “Russia” includes the Russian state, its government, military, intelligence services, or agents or proxies acting under their direction or with their authorization. “Assassinated” means Lindsey Graham was intentionally killed for political, strategic, or state-related purposes.
- Strong evidence includes, but is not limited to:
- A formal attribution by the United States government or another highly credible government;
- A court judgment or criminal conviction establishing Russian responsibility;
- A clear consensus among multiple reputable, independent investigations based on corroborated documentary, forensic, intelligence, or eyewitness evidence;