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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

0.5% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticaRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31
December 31 33%-2.0%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

8,8K €

Liquidità

174,6K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

2.8% / 3.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

+0.7%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

16 mag 26, 1:3131 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
May 31
May 31
0%

Esito scelto

December 3133%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A ceasefire refers to any mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries, and which constitutes a general suspension of direct kinetic military engagement across the primary theater of the overall conflict.
  • A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause (including holiday ceasefires) will count provided they otherwise qualify under this market’s rules.
  • Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire.
  • Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.

Mercati Correlati

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14,8K €
Sì: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: June

Nothing Ever Happens: June

1,4K €
Something: 11%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

1,3K €
June 30: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

116,9 €
USA: 45.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

43,3 €
Sì: 18.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?

43,3 €
Sì: 43.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,957.29+2.90%EthereumETH$1,659.73+2.21%SolanaSOL$65.37+2.33%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.05%XRPXRP$1.12+1.01%BNBBNB$597.01+2.13%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsUkraine NATO Bid Doubt Surges: Polymarket Bets Narrow to NoBlockchain.NewsRussia Sanctions British Teen Over Crypto Sanctions ReportBlockchain.NewsRussia targets British 17-year-old for alleging digital assets were skirting sanctionsCointelegraphRussia targets 17-year-old Browder over A7A5 crypto findingsCrypto News

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A ceasefire refers to any mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries, and which constitutes a general suspension of direct kinetic military engagement across the primary theater of the overall conflict.
  • A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause (including holiday ceasefires) will count provided they otherwise qualify under this market’s rules.
  • Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire.
  • Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.