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  • Home
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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 16%
Qualita del mercato

72 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

94,9 €

Liquidità

30,6K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

-2.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

13 nov 25, 21:4631 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes16%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
  • If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
  • If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.