Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
GeopoliticaOne-OffMedio OrienteCriminalità e giustizia4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.4%
Previsori
110
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo20 mag 24, 17:59 UTC16 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩⚖️🏛️
Manifold MarketsBen Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiNetanyahu arrested by which date?
PolymarketRegole
The International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu.
- Will Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or tried for war crimes or crimes against humanity?
- It will not be sufficient for this market if an arrest is made by someone without the power to enforce the arrest or detain him (eg. an activist accosts him and says that they’re making an arrest but his security staff get him away from the activist) or for him to be tried in absentia by a court who cannot enforce any ruling.
- If Netanyahu dies without ever having been arrested, detained or tried for these crimes, the market will resolve to NO.
- I don’t think that this resolution will be subjective, but just in case some edge case happens and it is subjective, I won’t be trading on this market.
- Related market: