PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 8%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
82,6K €
Liquidità
576,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoComments
514
Variazione 7g
-0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
14 mar 26, 0:251 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
