Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 pt (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffMiddle East22g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 30 4%-0.4ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
24K €
Alta liquiditàCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-0.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
21 lug 26, 01:15 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
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MyriadRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.