PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeAugust 31 6%+0.3%
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
35,9K €
Liquidità
31,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
5.7% / 6.6%
Spread
15.8%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
21 lug 26, 1:1531 ago 26, 23:55
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
August 316%
Trend del volume
$40.9k21 lug6g di dati26 lug
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.