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CoinRithm

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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

1.3% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticaMiddle East18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 30
September 30 34%+5.0%
In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

151,7K €

Liquidità

165K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

13.0% / 13.8%

Spread

6.2%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

+6.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

16 mar 26, 18:4430 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
March 31
March 31
0%
April 30
April 30
0%

Esito scelto

September 3034%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
  • Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying.
  • Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.

Mercati Correlati

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

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December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

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December 31: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

4,6K €
Sì: 1.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

1,9K €
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US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

750,5 €
Before July: 8%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,701.00+1.92%EthereumETH$1,652.96+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.13+0.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.19%XRPXRP$1.12-0.28%BNBBNB$595.50+1.31%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%CoindeskYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.NewsUS Sanctions Iran’s Nobitex Crypto Exchange Over Sanctions EvasionBlockchain.News

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
  • Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying.
  • Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.