US-Iran nuclear deal?
2.0% (24h)25g
KalshiSolo residenti USAKYC richiesto2% di commissioneQualita del mercato 29 • Bassa qualitaMercato poco profondo98 pt di divergenza
Avvisi
Segui questo mercato per creare avvisi.
Supporto decisionale
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before May 6%
Qualita del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitaBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Ultimo aggiornamento: 6 apr, 0:17
Risoluzione
1 mag 2026, 14:00
Volume 24h
752 €
Liquidità
13.468,3 €
Spread
16.7%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-
Bassa liquiditaMercato poco profondoAlta ambiguita
Inizio 12 mar 2026, 17:00Fine 1 mag 2026, 14:00
Trend
Nessun dato del grafico disponibile.
Esito24hProbabilità
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
KalshiUltimo aggiornamento: 1 minuto fa
No
0pt-
Before 2027
0pt42%
Before August
0pt29%
Before June
0pt18%
Volume
28.869,1 €
Volume 24h
752 €
Liquidità
13.468,3 €
Spread: Spread ampioLiquidità: Bassa liquidita
Solo residenti USAKYC richiesto2% di commissioneRegola in USD
PolymarketUltimo aggiornamento: 4 giorni faObsoleto
No
▲ +100pt100%
Before 2027
▼ 42pt-
Before August
▼ 29pt-
Before June
▼ 18pt-
Volume
1,3 Mln €
Volume 24h
12.416,3 €
Liquidità
130.923,1 €
Spread: Spread sconosciutoLiquidità: Alta liquidita
Non disponibile negli USASenza KYC2% di commissioneRegola in USDC
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
KalshiUltimo aggiornamento: 1 minuto fa
No
0pt-
Before 2027
0pt42%
Before August
0pt29%
Before June
0pt18%
Volume
28.869,1 €
Volume 24h
752 €
Liquidità
13.468,3 €
Spread: Spread ampioLiquidità: Bassa liquidita
Solo residenti USAKYC richiesto2% di commissioneRegola in USD
PolymarketUltimo aggiornamento: 16 minuti fa
No
▲ +97pt97%
Before 2027
▼ 42pt-
Before August
▼ 29pt-
Before June
▼ 18pt-
Volume
301.743,8 €
Volume 24h
36.115,2 €
Liquidità
55.962 €
Spread: Spread moderatoLiquidità: Liquidita media
Non disponibile negli USASenza KYC2% di commissioneRegola in USDC
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Regole
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement also made with other countries (i.e. multilaterally) is still encompassed if the United States participates. "A new Iran-US nuclear deal" means a formal written agreement signed by authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran that (1) imposes verifiable restrictions on Iran's nuclear program, including limits on uranium enrichment, centrifuge numbers, or nuclear facility operations, AND (2) provides for the lifting, suspension, or modification of at least one US economic sanction on Iran in exchange for Iran's nuclear commitments.
- If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Argomenti
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