Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.1 pt (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffMiddle East22g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 30 3%-0.1ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
77,4 €
Liquidità
11,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.4 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
2
Variazione 7g
+1.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
21 lug 26, 01:15 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.