Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
PoliticaCommoditiesIAGeopolitica5m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 16 giu 2026, 00:25 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Previsione della comunità attualeBefore 2027 25.9%In testa tra 4 esiti
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Aggiornato 41 giorni fa
Obsoleto8 mar 26, 17:1831 dic 26, 17:13
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Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
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Before 202726%
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States takes control of Kharg Island for at least an hour before the specified deadline.
- Control is defined as US military forces establishing and maintaining physical presence on the island with the ability to direct operations.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets, official US government statements, or documented military operations.
- The market resolves NO if the deadline passes without such control being established.
- Kharg Island is a 5-mile strip of land that serves as Iran's most important oil facility, an export terminal in the Persian Gulf that handles up to 90 percent of the nation's crude.