Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
PoliticaMaterie primeIAGeopolitica2m
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Dati al 25 ott 2026, 11:13 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
Before 2027 8.6%In testa tra 4 esiti
Before 2027 8.6%Previsori
36
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mar 26, 17:18 UTC31 dic 26, 17:13 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Limitless🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States takes control of Kharg Island for at least an hour before the specified deadline.
- Control is defined as US military forces establishing and maintaining physical presence on the island with the ability to direct operations.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets, official US government statements, or documented military operations.
- The market resolves NO if the deadline passes without such control being established.
- Kharg Island is a 5-mile strip of land that serves as Iran's most important oil facility, an export terminal in the Persian Gulf that handles up to 90 percent of the nation's crude.
