IA | Mercati Predittivi

Best AI at the end of 2026?

2.0 pts5m

Claude

-0.8pt62.1%

ChatGPT

-0.7pt13.6%

Gemini

-0.3pt9.7%

+5 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmAnthropic68%· intervallo di 1 pt

89 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale7,8 Mln USD

Volume 24h84,1K USD

KALSHI

Which company has best AI model end of July?

0.3 pts1g

Anthropic

+0.3pt100%

Google

OpenAI

-0.1pt0%

+23 altri esiti

89 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale8,1 Mln USD

Volume 24h71,8K USD

POLYMARKET

Top AI model in July?

claude-opus-5-high

+9.0pt16%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

+3.0pt4%

claude-fable-5

+8 altri esiti

59 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoAlta liquidità

Volume totale573,4K USD

Volume 24h227,5K USD

KALSHI

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

87%

xAI

26%

Anthropic

+0.2pt14%

+71 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale4,9 Mln USD

Volume 24h12,3K USD

POLYMARKET

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

14.3 pts1g

Alibaba

-12.1pt73.7%

Moonshot

+14.3pt26.3%

ByteDance

+22 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmAlibaba74%· intervallo di 13 pt

72 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale825,4K USD

Volume 24h63,1K USD

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

3.5 pts5m

↑$1.1T

+3.6pt100%

↑$1.0T

+2.4pt100%

↑$1.25T

85%

+10 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale2,7 Mln USD

Volume 24h10,6K USD

POLYMARKET

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

1.0 pts5m

Before Jan 1, 2027

+1.0pt17%

Before Dec 1, 2026

14%

Before Nov 1, 2026

+5 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale1,9 Mln USD

Volume 24h8,7K USD

KALSHI

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

3.0 pts5m

Jersey Mike's

99%

SpaceX

99%

Shein

-1.0pt86%

+27 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale2,1 Mln USD

Volume 24h5,3K USD

KALSHI

Anthropic IPO by __?

3.0 pts11m

December 31,

-2.0pt61.6%

October 31,

-3.0pt32.1%

September 30,

-0.5pt5.4%

+3 altri esiti

77 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale846K USD

Volume 24h13K USD

POLYMARKET

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

Before Jun 1, 2027

72%

Before May 1, 2027

61%

Before Apr 1, 2027

+6.0pt54%

+10 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,1 Mln USD

Volume 24h7,1K USD

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

7.0 pts2m

Before Apr 1, 2027

+2.0pt82%

Before Mar 1, 2027

81%

Before Feb 1, 2027

72%

+8 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale1 Mln USD

Volume 24h6,2K USD

KALSHI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?

7.2 pts2g

August 31

+5.5pt92.6%

August 7

-7.2pt3.2%

July 31

-1.4pt2.1%

+13 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale352,5K USD

Volume 24h16,8K USD

POLYMARKET

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

1.0 pts5m

Zohran Mamdani

-1.0pt26%

Pope Leo XIV

-1.0pt19%

Donald Trump

16%

+22 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmZohran Mamdani25%· intervallo di 1 pt

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale711,3K USD

Volume 24h6,3K USD

KALSHI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

4.0 pts5m

Anthropic

+4.0pt70.1%

Google

-0.5pt10.3%

OpenAI

-0.5pt9.3%

+23 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmAnthropic68%· intervallo di 1 pt

85 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale411,4K USD

Volume 24h11K USD

POLYMARKET

BTC price on July 31

$52,500 or above

98%

$55,000 or above

97%

$60,000 or above

96.5%

+6 altri esiti

Cripto correlate

BTC

35 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale210,2K USD

Volume 24h20,1K USD

GEMINI

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

6.0 pts1m

Before 2027

-17.0pt76%

Before Nov 1, 2026

73%

Before Oct 1, 2026

+16.0pt71%

+4 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale252,4K USD

Volume 24h11,3K USD

KALSHI

Best AI model on August 1?

0.8 pts3g

Other

+2.3pt100%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

-0.8pt0%

claude-opus-4-6

-0.1pt0%

+1 altri esiti

80 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale117,2K USD

Volume 24h9,5K USD

POLYMARKET

What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?

GitHub

93%

OpenAI

91%

Foundry

+11.0pt86%

+12 altri esiti

72 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale42,5K USD

Volume 24h25,5K USD

KALSHI

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

60.0 pts5m

Sì

+60.0pt69%

31%

57 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale68,3K USD

Volume 24h12,5K USD

KALSHI

OpenAI IPO by which date?

December

19%

September 30,

August

-0.1pt1%

+3 altri esiti

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoAlta liquidità

Volume totale2,7 Mln USD

Volume 24h2,8K USD

POLYMARKET

GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?

46.0 pts2g

$4.00-$5.00

+46.0pt55.6%

$5.00-$6.00

-41.6pt43.4%

$3.00-$4.00

+0.5pt1%

+3 altri esiti

65 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale60,1K USD

Volume 24h7,1K USD

POLYMARKET

AI bubble burst by which date?

1.0 pts5m

2026

+1.0pt19%

March 31, 2026

-0.1pt0%

2025

+0.1pt0%

59 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale2,9 Mln USD

Volume 24h2K USD

POLYMARKET

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

9.0 pts1m

Alibaba

-9.0pt57%

Other

50%

Company A

50%

+22 altri esiti

62 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale34,8K USD

Volume 24h9,9K USD

POLYMARKET

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

29.5 pts

1480+

-1.3pt87%

1490+

+17.9pt83%

1495+

+2.0pt55%

+2 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale63,3K USD

Volume 24h5,1K USD

POLYMARKET

Best AI this week

Claude

-1.0pt92.5%

ChatGPT

1.9%

Qwen

0.9%

+5 altri esiti

51 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale31,1K USD

Volume 24h8,1K USD

KALSHI

Seattle vs Los Angeles D

23h

Los Angeles D

57.8%

Seattle

42.2%

Riferimento CoinRithmLos Angeles D59%· intervallo di 2 pt

66 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoBassa liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale15,6K USD

Volume 24h15,6K USD

GEMINI

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

10.5 pts5m

↑$900B

73%

↓$800B

-0.5pt66%

↑$1.0T

-2.0pt51%

+12 altri esiti

70 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale936,3K USD

Volume 24h3,3K USD

POLYMARKET

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

2.0 pts5m

Anthropic

57.3%

OpenAI

+2.0pt29.1%

xAI

-1.0pt4.8%

+6 altri esiti

80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale959,4K USD

Volume 24h3,1K USD

KALSHI

Top AI model this week

1.0 pts5g

claude-opus-5-high

+1.0pt15%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

-3.0pt4%

claude-fable-5

+1 altri esiti

69 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale21,4K USD

Volume 24h9,7K USD

KALSHI

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

0.1 pts5m

No IPO by December 31, 2026

82%

1T–1.25T

-0.4pt8%

750B–1T

-0.8pt4%

+4 altri esiti

77 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale2 Mln USD

Volume 24h1,1K USD

POLYMARKET

Philadelphia vs Miami

13h

Philadelphia

61.8%

Miami

38.2%

Riferimento CoinRithmPhiladelphia62%· intervallo di 1 pt

66 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoBassa liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale12,9K USD

Volume 24h12,9K USD

GEMINI

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

15.0 pts4m

Before 2027

+15.0pt88%

Before December

+15.0pt84%

Before November

+16.0pt72%

+2 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale13,3K USD

Volume 24h10,7K USD

KALSHI

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?

0.3 pts1g

Anthropic

+0.3pt100%

Google

+0.3pt0%

OpenAI

-0.2pt0%

+23 altri esiti

81 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale379,4K USD

Volume 24h3,3K USD

POLYMARKET

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

1.0 pts5m

OpenAI

+2.0pt34%

xAI

19%

Moonshot AI

+5.0pt16%

+9 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmOpenAI30%· intervallo di 4 pt

69 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale306,9K USD

Volume 24h2,7K USD

KALSHI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?

0.3 pts2g

No release by July 31

-0.3pt98%

July 29

July 31

+29 altri esiti

69 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale377,1K USD

Volume 24h2K USD

POLYMARKET

Best AI in Jul 2026?

1.0 pts2g

Claude

+1.0pt94.3%

ChatGPT

-1.0pt0.9%

Gemini

0.9%

+4 altri esiti

54 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale447,9K USD

Volume 24h1,6K USD

KALSHI

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

2.3 pts5m

Earbuds/Headphones

-1.5pt20%

Clip-on device for clothing

+3.5pt16.5%

Necklace

13.9%

+7 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmEarbuds/Headphones17%· intervallo di 6 pt

58 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale393K USD

Volume 24h1,7K USD

POLYMARKET

BTC price on July 29

11h

$63,000 or above

89%

$63,250 or above

85.5%

$63,500 or above

79.5%

+6 altri esiti

Cripto correlate

BTC

55 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoBassa liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale7,4K USD

Volume 24h7,4K USD

GEMINI

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

7.0 pts5m

Clip-on device for clothing

-7.0pt17%

Earbuds/Headphones

+10.0pt17%

Necklace

-1.0pt11%

+7 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmEarbuds/Headphones17%· intervallo di 6 pt

65 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquidità

Volume totale134,5K USD

Volume 24h4K USD

KALSHI

Top Math AI this month

1.0 pts2g

Claude

-1.0pt85%

ChatGPT

4.4%

Mimo

+3.0pt3.5%

+4 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale99K USD

Volume 24h4,5K USD

KALSHI

XRP price on July 31

$1 or above

97%

$0.9 or above

92%

$1.1 or above

35.5%

+3 altri esiti

Cripto correlate

XRP

51 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoBassa liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale318,4K USD

Volume 24h1,3K USD

GEMINI

Will Claude go down on __ days in July?

0.7 pts2g

9-11

+2.8pt82.2%

12+

-0.7pt17.8%

0-2

-0.3pt0%

+2 altri esiti

76 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale82,4K USD

Volume 24h4,7K USD

POLYMARKET

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1.5 pts2m

1510

+45.5pt100%

1520

+2.5pt34%

1530

+1.5pt12%

+2 altri esiti

58 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale142,2K USD

Volume 24h2,6K USD

POLYMARKET

GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?

10.2 pts2g

$2.60-$2.90

+5.0pt78%

$2.90-$3.20

+10.2pt13%

$2.30-$2.60

-21.0pt7%

+4 altri esiti

67 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale87K USD

Volume 24h4,3K USD

POLYMARKET

Top Coding AI this month

2.0 pts2g

Claude

+2.0pt90.8%

Kimi

+1.0pt2.8%

ChatGPT

1.8%

+5 altri esiti

72 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale188,3K USD

Volume 24h1,2K USD

KALSHI

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

16.5 pts5m

1525

+3.6pt100%

1550

+0.6pt96%

1575

-16.5pt66%

+1 altri esiti

62 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale99,2K USD

Volume 24h2,3K USD

POLYMARKET

When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?

16.0 pts2m

Before Nov 1, 2026

-8.0pt80%

Before Oct 1, 2026

-16.0pt57%

Before Sep 1, 2026

-1.0pt41%

+1 altri esiti

46 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale52,4K USD

Volume 24h3,8K USD

KALSHI

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

3.0 pts5m

87%

Sì

-3.0pt13%

75 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale116,2K USD

Volume 24h1,3K USD

KALSHI

IA

Asset Cripto Correlati

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Top AI model in July?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Anthropic IPO by __?

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

BTC price on July 31

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

Best AI model on August 1?

What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

OpenAI IPO by which date?

GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?

AI bubble burst by which date?

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Best AI this week

Seattle vs Los Angeles D

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Top AI model this week

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Philadelphia vs Miami

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?

Best AI in Jul 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

BTC price on July 29

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Top Math AI this month

XRP price on July 31

Will Claude go down on __ days in July?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?

Top Coding AI this month

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?