KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Dec 31, 2026 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Prezzo registrato
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%In testa tra 9 esiti
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%Qualità del mercato
≤74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
28,8K €
Open interest
163,9K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Dec 31, 2026Spread
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
20 ott 26, 03:30 UTC31 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before Sep 25, 2026Persa
Before Oct 2, 2026Persa
Before Oct 9, 2026Persa
Before Oct 16, 2026Persa
Before Oct 23, 2026Persa
Before Oct 30, 2026Persa
Before Nov 6, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Dec 31, 2026
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Manifold MarketsOn what date will OpenAI release GPT-6.2 Astra?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a frontier model with a 5:1 or better abstention to hallucination ratio on SimpleQA?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a Frontier Model trained according to their "Why LLMs hallucinate" paper?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Dec 31, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 25, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 2, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 9, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 23, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 6, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
