PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Anthropic 63%+0.5%In testa tra 26 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3K €
Liquidità
554,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
3.1% / 4.4%
Spread
41.9%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-0.9%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
4 giu 26, 17:4131 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Anthropic63%
Confronta le piattaforme· Anthropic
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 63% | 0pt | 3K € | 554,6K € | 21 minuti fa | |
 Futuur90% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 67% | +4pt | 0 € | 13,9K € | 21 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Futuur
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
5m
67%
17%
10%
+3 altri esiti
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale241,3 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegole
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$3.4k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
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This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.