KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Claude 88.5%+20.0ptIn testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Claude 88.5%+20.0ptQualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
502,9 €
Open interest
4,9K €
Open interest medioSpread
23.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 minuti fa
30 set 26, 17:30 UTC31 ott 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Top Coding AI this week
KalshiTop coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiAt the end of 2026 will there be any European model that ranks higher than Mistral Medium 3.5 on arena.ai agent arena?
Manifold MarketsWill any European model listed on arena.ai agent arena have a higher score than Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will have the top model on arena.ai Agent Arena accessible through a <$20/mo subscription on November 1st 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LMArena Code
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regole per ogni esito
- Claude
- If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gemini
- If Gemini is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qwen
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If Grok is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dola
- If Dola is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- GLM
- If GLM is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If Kimi is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiniMax
- If MiniMax is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
