PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
November 30 89%+3.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
5,2K €
Liquidità
39,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
17
Variazione 7g
-22.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
12 dic 25, 21:47 UTC1 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Gemini 4 released in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
- Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Tariff99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Fake News99%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 94,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 94,2K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.2pt67.7%
- ChatGPT-4.8pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.4pt6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,3 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
- ChatGPT-8.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 416,3K €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-64.6pt3%
- 1490+-39.9pt1%
- 1500+-25.4pt1%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-3.0pt85%
- 2026+1.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-4.5pt39%
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Gemini 4.0 released by which date??
- Polymarket quota November 30 al 89% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Gemini 4.0 released by which date??
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Gemini 4.0 released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date.