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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. IA
  3. Best AI at the end of 2026?
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

1.7% (24h)IATecnologiaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Claude
Claude 67%-1.7%
In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato

91 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

436,5 €

Liquidità

30,7K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

66.0% / 67.0%

Spread

1.5%

Spread stretto
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

1 gen 26, 15:0031 dic 26, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Claude67%

Regole

If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Best AI in Jun 2026?

Best AI in Jun 2026?

308,7 €
Claude: 91%KalshiKALSHI
Best AI this week

Best AI this week

261,3 €
ChatGPT: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

6,7K €
Google: 14.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,1 €
None in 2026: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?

216,6 €
Sì: 19.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?

90,7 €
Sì: 53.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%BNBBNB$595.66+1.32%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.