KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeZohran Mamdani 27%+2.0%In testa tra 25 esiti
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
20K €
Liquidità
325,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
19 feb 26, 20:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Zohran Mamdani27%
Confronta le piattaforme· Zohran Mamdani
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 27% | 0pt | 20K € | 325,3K € | 27 minuti fa | |
 Polymarket71% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 30% | +3pt | 666 € | 204,1K € | 7 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets88% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 13% | -14pt | — | — | 27 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
5m
-0.8%30.9%
-0.1%13%
+0.9%12.9%
+46 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità207 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
TIME Person of the Year 2026
7.5%5m
+7.5%30%
-3.0%20%
+3.5%17%
+19 altri esiti
80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale3,6K €
Volume 24h666 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$22.8k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
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If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.