Entertainment | Mercati Predittivi

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

-0.5%56%

Toy Story 5

-0.7%19%

Avengers: Doomsday

16%

+25 altri esiti

73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale10,9 Mln USD

Volume 24h121,4K USD

POLYMARKET

What will happen before GTA VI?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire

-27.5%100%

Drake releases Iceman

+0.6%100%

New Playboi Carti Album

+1.5%53%

+7 altri esiti

100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale22,6 Mln USD

Volume 24h5,6K USD

POLYMARKET

Next James Bond actor?

18g

No Bond chosen

-3.0%85%

Callum Turner

+6.9%10%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

-0.4%1%

+28 altri esiti

73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità

Volume totale3 Mln USD

Volume 24h9,2K USD

POLYMARKET

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

0.1%2a

Graham Platner

-0.1%1%

Wes Moore

-0.2%2%

Hunter Biden

-0.7%2%

+22 altri esiti

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità

Volume totale1,2 Mln USD

Volume 24h4,4K USD

KALSHI

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

0.1%6m

Avengers: Doomsday

73%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

16%

The Odyssey

+0.1%5%

+24 altri esiti

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,6 Mln USD

Volume 24h2,3K USD

POLYMARKET

Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?

19.3%18g

Obsession

+18.7%88%

Devil Wears Prada 2

-19.3%10%

Movie B

+13 altri esiti

100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale187K USD

Volume 24h25,8K USD

POLYMARKET

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Sì

31.4%

68.6%

Previsione della comunità4,478 previsoriTipo: binary

Volume totale12,3 Mln USD

Volume 24h8,3K USD

MANIFOLD MARKETS

"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

21.5%4g

>47m

+21.5%50%

43-47m

-27.5%25%

39-43m

+4.5%19%

+2 altri esiti

73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale19,6K USD

Volume 24h14,8K USD

POLYMARKET

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

0.5%18g

June 30

-0.5%61%

June 22

-0.5%36%

June 15

-0.5%19%

+1 altri esiti

80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale457,4K USD

Volume 24h3,8K USD

POLYMARKET

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Eric Trump

Donald J. Trump

+0.1%3%

Elon Musk

+22 altri esiti

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale472,6K USD

Volume 24h665,7 USD

KALSHI

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

0.3%5m

Other (Season Cancelled)

-1.5%88%

Doug Mason

+0.1%8%

Richard Van De Water

+0.3%2%

+46 altri esiti

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità

Volume totale2,4 Mln USD

Volume 24h303,4 USD

POLYMARKET

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

4.5%5m

Sì

-0.0%19%

+0.1%81%

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale403,4K USD

Volume 24h1,6K USD

POLYMARKET

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny

+1.0%74%

Drake

+1.6%16%

Taylor Swift

+0.1%5%

+43 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,3 Mln USD

Volume 24h112,4 USD

POLYMARKET

How many straight weeks will Iceman be #1?

More than 4 weeks

More than 5 weeks

More than 7 weeks

+1.0%3%

+5 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale13,6K USD

Volume 24h1,9K USD

KALSHI

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

2.6%5g

Office Romance

+50.1%96%

Movie D

50%

Movie G

50%

+16 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale4,8K USD

Volume 24h3,6K USD

POLYMARKET

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in June 2026?

3.5%19g

↓ $85

+5.0%100%

↓ $80

-3.5%74%

↓ $75

+1.0%26%

+11 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale9,9K USD

Volume 24h1,2K USD

POLYMARKET

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

0.6%2m

Sì

+0.0%2%

-0.0%98%

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale229,9K USD

Volume 24h636,3 USD

POLYMARKET

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

3.5%6m

Brittany Mahomes

87%

Selena Gomez

-3.5%86%

Jack Antonoff

-1.5%85%

+12 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale305,9K USD

Volume 24h478,7 USD

POLYMARKET

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Sì

93%

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale156,4K USD

Volume 24h595,5 USD

POLYMARKET

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

Trump bans abortion nationwide

5.5%

Trump bans Lab-grown meat nationwide

11%

Trump bans all vaccines nationwide

1.6%

+248 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità1,629 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

Volume totale1 Mln USD

Volume 24h102,9 USD

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Chirayu Rana divorced?

0.1%18g

Sì

100%

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale91K USD

Volume 24h455,2 USD

POLYMARKET

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Yes, the Red-Haired Pirates ARE the holy knights

1.7%

No, they are not the holy knights nor do they have any affiliation (besides Garling)

2.2%

Shanks is the only holy knight (past member or current member) from the Red-Haired Pirates

89.7%

+2 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità42 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

Volume totale45K USD

Volume 24h901,1 USD

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by June 30?

0.1%18g

485m

+0.1%100%

488m

+0.1%100%

491m

100%

+3 altri esiti

79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale77,5K USD

Volume 24h358,2 USD

POLYMARKET

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in June?

0.3%18g

Taylor Swift

+3.1%100%

Ariana Grande

+36.0%100%

Olivia Rodrigo

-1.5%97%

+11 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale39,7K USD

Volume 24h369,1 USD

POLYMARKET

Love Island USA: Winning Couple

3.0%2m

Aniya and KC

-3.0%28%

Trinity and Bryce

+3.0%24%

Kenzie and Caleb

+3.0%12%

+22 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale9,7K USD

Volume 24h769,2 USD

KALSHI

Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur?

Rhode Island

20%

New York

-5.0%76%

Tennessee

+1.0%3%

+2 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale16,1K USD

Volume 24h339,7 USD

KALSHI

"Disclosure Day" Rotten Tomatoes score?

13.0%4g

Above 87

-13.0%1%

Above 85

-36.0%3%

Above 80

-16.0%75%

+21 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale8,4K USD

Volume 24h2,7K USD

KALSHI

Who will win Masters Season 38?

20g

Mochi

11.3%

Brad

4.4%

Tripping

0.8%

+26 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità18 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

Volume totale10,8K USD

Volume 24h1,1K USD

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Jun 8 at ___?

0.6%1g

$80-$90

68%

$70-$80

+1.0%29%

$60-$70

+9.3%10%

+8 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale2,8K USD

Volume 24h714,3 USD

POLYMARKET

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

22.5%5g

The Witness

+33.5%59%

Show E

50%

Show I

50%

+19 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale4,1K USD

Volume 24h2,2K USD

POLYMARKET

TIME Person of the Year 2026

14.5%6m

Zohran Mamdani

+29.5%39%

Jeremy Hansen

+27.5%37%

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

+3.0%37%

+19 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,3K USD

Volume 24h109,4 USD

POLYMARKET

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

0.8%6m

Avengers: Doomsday

73%

Toy Story 5

+12.6%14%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

-4.5%11%

+33 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale20,7K USD

Volume 24h169,4 USD

POLYMARKET

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 8 above___?

5.5%1g

$20

98%

$30

98%

$70

+0.5%96%

+10 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale3,4K USD

Volume 24h400 USD

POLYMARKET

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 20

0.3%4g

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

99%

Song A

50%

Song C

50%

+19 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale11,4K USD

Volume 24h190,5 USD

POLYMARKET

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

60.0%5g

Office Romance

+60.0%87%

Movie I

50%

Movie A

50%

+20 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale2,2K USD

Volume 24h1,2K USD

POLYMARKET

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

29.0%5g

The Witness

+29.0%56%

Show A

50%

Show D

50%

+19 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale2K USD

Volume 24h1,2K USD

POLYMARKET

How many movies will gross >$1 billion in 2026?

0-3

5.7%

12.1%

32.5%

+3 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità11 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

Volume totale3,4K USD

Volume 24h1,5K USD

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

17.5%5g

Show B

50%

Show C

50%

Show J

50%

+19 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,8K USD

Volume 24h1,1K USD

POLYMARKET

Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2026?

Ufo361

46.5%

Paula Hartmann

27%

Bonez

19.2%

+7 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità87 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

Volume totale95,5K USD

Volume 24h240,2 USD

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

3.0%7m

Dune: Part Three

80%

Project Hail Mary

-16.0%75%

The Odyssey

-3.0%69%

+11 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale1,7K USD

Volume 24h287,9 USD

POLYMARKET

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang

+2.3%100%

Benedict Wong as Wong

+0.5%84%

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man

83%

+17 altri esiti

71 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale44,1K USD

Volume 24h143,5 USD

POLYMARKET

"Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office

1.0%4g

>19m

+1.0%83%

17-19m

+5.0%14%

15-17m

+1 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale498 USD

Volume 24h303,6 USD

POLYMARKET

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

2.5%5g

Michael Jackson: The Verdict

+18.5%60%

Show I

50%

Show J

50%

+19 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale787,2 USD

Volume 24h254,7 USD

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?

Sì

8.7%

91.3%

Previsione della comunità93 previsoriTipo: binary

Volume totale33,2K USD

Volume 24h280,2 USD

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce be married this year?

1.0%6m

Sì

-1.0%90%

10%

79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale7,8K USD

Volume 24h410,6 USD

KALSHI

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

4.0%1a

Selena Gomez

-4.0%77%

Ashley Avignone

+1.0%67%

Abigail Anderson

-0.5%66%

+7 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale3,3K USD

Volume 24h553,9 USD

POLYMARKET

Oscar for Best Picture?

3.0%1a

The Black Ball

+3.0%6%

The Social Reckoning

The Odyssey

-1.0%30%

+22 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale10,1K USD

Volume 24h155,5 USD

KALSHI

Who will be the next James Bond?

49.0%3a

Harris Dickinson

+49.0%53%

Jacob Elordi

-14.0%26%

Callum Turner

-14.0%40%

+20 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale10,5K USD

Volume 24h118,1 USD

KALSHI

Intrattenimento

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

What will happen before GTA VI?

Next James Bond actor?

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Top Spotify Artist 2026

How many straight weeks will Iceman be #1?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in June 2026?

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

Chirayu Rana divorced?

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by June 30?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in June?

Love Island USA: Winning Couple

Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur?

"Disclosure Day" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Who will win Masters Season 38?

Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Jun 8 at ___?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 8 above___?

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 20

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

How many movies will gross >$1 billion in 2026?

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2026?

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

"Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce be married this year?

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

Oscar for Best Picture?

Who will be the next James Bond?