PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Paul Mescal 32%+0.9ptIn testa tra 49 esiti
Qualita del mercato
47 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
707,3 €
Liquidità
9,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
15.7% / 23.4%
Spread
7.7 pt
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-9.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
18 mag 26, 23:0331 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Paul Mescal32%
Confronta le piattaforme· Paul Mescal
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Media | 42% | — | 1,6K € | 654,5K € | 23 minuti fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketPiù attiva82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 0% | — | 11,2K € | 0 € | 25 giorni fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketQuesta pagina | Bassa | 32% | — | 707,3 € | 9,4K € | 3 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 38% | — | — | — | 27 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsChiusi
Risolto
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale3,4 Mln €
Volume 24h11,2K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Kalshi
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
3a
+2.0pt42%
21%
16%
+21 altri esiti
74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale1,2 Mln €
Volume 24h1,6K €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2a
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità29 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — No6 gg fa
KALSHITom Holland — No6 gg fa$1.3k49.0%KALSHICallum Turner — Yes10 gg fa
KALSHICallum Turner — Yes10 gg fa$4.3k96.0%KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No11 gg fa
KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No11 gg fa$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — No11 gg fa
KALSHIRichard Madden — No11 gg fa$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No11 gg fa
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No11 gg faTrend del volume
$8072 lug26g di dati27 lug
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.