KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeCallum Turner 42%+1.0ptIn testa tra 24 esiti
Qualita del mercato
74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,7K €
Liquidità
655,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
24 giu 25, 1:051 gen 30, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Aaron Pierre7%
Confronta le piattaforme· Callum Turner
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 42% | — | 1,7K € | 655,9K € | 14 minuti fa | |
 Polymarket82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Media | 31% | — | 708,8 € | 9,1K € | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketPiù attiva87% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 0% | — | 11,2K € | 0 € | 25 giorni fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 38% | — | — | — | 28 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsChiusi
Risolto
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale3,4 Mln €
Volume 24h11,2K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2a
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità29 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
6.3 pts5m
+4.1pt32%
+0.5pt31%
-1.4pt28%
+46 altri esiti
56 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale15,9K €
Volume 24h708,8 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr.
- No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- If Aaron Taylor-Johnson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tom Hardy is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Henry Cavill is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — No6 gg fa
KALSHITom Holland — No6 gg fa$1.3k49.0%KALSHICallum Turner — Yes10 gg fa
KALSHICallum Turner — Yes10 gg fa$4.3k96.0%KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No12 gg fa
KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No12 gg fa$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — No12 gg fa
KALSHIRichard Madden — No12 gg fa$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No12 gg fa
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No12 gg faTrend del volume
$1.9k2 lug26g di dati27 lug
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POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr.
- No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- If Aaron Taylor-Johnson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tom Hardy is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Henry Cavill is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.