KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Cillian Murphy 25.7%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
804,9 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
8 gen 26, 23:00 UTC1 gen 31, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
KalshiNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWho will direct the next James Bond Film?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform The Villain in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as The Villain in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in The Villain, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Mercati aperti
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain?
- Kalshi quota Cillian Murphy al 26% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain?
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.