Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 65.6%
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13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto11 dic 25, 18:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketWho will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRegole
This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.
- This market would resolve YES for:
- A single individual person (e.g. "Donald Trump")
- An individual plus a concept or non-human entity (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine")
- It would resolve NO for:
- More than one person, or a nonspecific group (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris" or "The Architects of AI")
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human??
- Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.