PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No change 69.2%In testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
13,1K €
Liquidità
1,3 Mln €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-0.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
17 giu 26, 23:3428 ott 26, 23:59
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm No change 72% · 2 piattaforme · banda di 1 pt
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 70%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 71%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 64%
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt66.7%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt30.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,6 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt28.3%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.6pt88.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.3pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate71.6%
- Hike 25bps22.6%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 224,9K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.8pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Fed Decision in October??
- Polymarket quota No change al 69% al 23 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Fed Decision in October??
- Fed Decision in October? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Fed Decision in October??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- Dove altro è quotato Fed Decision in October??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera).