KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeExactly 4 cuts 1%+0.1%In testa tra 21 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
30,7K €
Liquidità
3,8 Mln €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
0.7% / 0.9%
Spread
28.6%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
29 set 25, 14:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Exactly 4 cuts1%
Confronta le piattaforme· Exactly 0 cuts
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 85% | — | 45,7K € | 2,3 Mln € | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Media | 83% | — | 30,7K € | 3,8 Mln € | 14 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets80% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 53% | — | — | — | 22 ore fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets85% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 83% | — | — | — | l’altro ieri | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
+1.4%82.8%
-0.9%8.1%
-0.2%2.8%
+6 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità16 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
+0.3%85%
9%
+0.1%3%
+10 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale39,4 Mln €
Volume 24h45,7K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
53.3%
34.4%
8.5%
+3 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità25 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.4k83.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yes3 gg fa
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yes3 gg fa$1.1k84.6%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionality3 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionality3 gg fa$1.3k84.8%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionality4 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionality4 gg fa$2.9k99.6%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina384 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina384 gg fa$2.8k99.3%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhill5 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhill5 gg fa$1.7k20.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — No6 gg fa
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — No6 gg fa$3.4k15.0%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV97 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV97 gg fa$2.8k79.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yes10 gg fa
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yes10 gg faTrend del volume
$34.9k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
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If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.