Previsione della comunità attuale
0 (0 bps) 91.6%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto11 dic 25, 8:4631 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market resolves to the exact number of 25-basis-point rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve in 2026, including any cuts at the December FOMC meeting.
- Emergency cuts outside scheduled FOMC meetings also count.
- The market remains open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to capture such actions.
- Rate cuts are counted as follows:
- Each 25 bps of total reduction = 1 cut
- Cuts of 1–24 bps = 1 cut
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026? · 0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75) 34%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? · 0 (0 bps) 87%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Number of rate cuts in 2026? · Exactly 0 cuts 88%
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change68%
- 25 bps increase-2.0pt31%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 46,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt66.3%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt29.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+1.1pt86.3%
- 1 (25 bps)9.8%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2.9%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+9.9pt57.8%
- SpaceX+2.0pt41.2%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.3pt3.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate67.1%
- Hike 25bps26.8%
- Cut 25bps2.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 93,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 40,8K €
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Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota 0 (0 bps) al 92% al 26 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to the exact number of 25-basis-point rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve in 2026, including any cuts at the December FOMC meeting.
- Dove altro è quotato How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Kalshi.