KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Exactly 5 cuts 36.1%In testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
12,3 €
Liquidità
37,2K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
2 giu 26, 23:00 UTC1 gen 27, 14:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Trading Economics
- The Underlying is the number of discrete decreases in the Brazil interest rate value during calendar year 2026.
- Each separate decrease counts as one rate cut, regardless of the size of the decrease.
- For example, a decrease from 14.75% to 14.50% counts as one rate cut, and a decrease from 14.50% to 14.25% would count as another rate cut.
- Rate cuts before market issuance count, provided they occurred during calendar year 2026.
- As of issuance, Brazil has already had 2 qualifying 2026 rate cuts: the Selic target was reduced to 14.75% in March 2026 and to 14.50% in April 2026.
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 543,5K €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Exactly 5 cuts al 36% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026??
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.