Central Banks

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

0.1 pt (24h)21h

25 bps increase

-0.1pt100%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithm25 bps increase100%· 1 pt di scarto tra venue

Alta qualità (87)Spread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale512,6K USD

Volume 24h50,5K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

0.5 pt (24h)9g

25 bps increase

-0.1pt98%

No change

-0.6pt1%

50+ bps increase

+0.5pt1%

+2 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithm25 bps increase98%· 1 pt di scarto tra venue

Alta qualità (84)Spread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale694,6K USD

Volume 24h10,6K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan rate decision in September

Hike 25bps

+1.0pt94.3%

Hike more than 25bps

1.9%

Maintain current rate

+1.0pt1.9%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (56)Spread sconosciutoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale185K USD

Volume 24h16,1K USD

KALSHI

European Central Bank rate decision in September

21h

Hike 1-25bps

+1.0pt95.2%

Maintain current rate

+1.0pt1.9%

Hike more than 25bps

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (57)Spread sconosciutoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale92,1K USD

Volume 24h25,7K USD

KALSHI

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

9.0 pt (24h)1m

No change

-9.0pt81.2%

25 bps increase

+9.0pt18.8%

50+ bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (74)Spread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale83,2K USD

Volume 24h25,9K USD

POLYMARKET

Czech National Bank rate decision in September

5.0 pt (24h)7g

Maintain current rate

+5.0pt92.4%

Hike 25bps

-6.0pt1.9%

Cut 50bps

1.9%

+4 altri esiti

Alta qualità (77)Spread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale51,2K USD

Volume 24h10,6K USD

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

15.8 pt (24h)20g

25 bps increase

+15.8pt81.4%

No change

-18.5pt17.5%

50+ bps decrease

+0.9pt1%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (65)Spread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale65,5K USD

Volume 24h7,2K USD

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

0.5 pt (24h)1m

No change

-0.5pt89.9%

25 bps increase

-0.5pt10.1%

50+ bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (66)Spread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale31K USD

Volume 24h7,2K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in September?

0.3 pt (24h)8g

No change

-0.6pt97%

25 bps increase

-0.4pt3%

50+ bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (51)Spread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale254,3K USD

Volume 24h2,9K USD

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

1.0 pt (24h)1m

H 0

+1.0pt63.3%

H 25

25.7%

C 25

5.5%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (56)Spread sconosciutoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume 24h7,1K USD

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Bank of England decision in November?

31.0 pt (24h)1m

25 bps increase

+31.0pt58%

No change

-44.0pt30%

50+ bps increase

+0.1pt1%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (63)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale44,4K USD

Volume 24h2,7K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

9.0 pt (24h)3m

Sì

+9.0pt65%

-9.0pt35%

Qualità media (64)Spread moderatoBassa liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale52,6K USD

Volume 24h1K USD

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

3.5 pt (24h)1m

No change

+3.5pt67%

25 bps increase

+7.0pt31.1%

50+ bps decrease

+0.1pt1%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (65)Spread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale40,1K USD

Volume 24h1K USD

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase

62.5%

No change

29.2%

25 bps decrease

4.2%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (67)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale3,3K USD

Volume 24h3,3K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Maintains rate

+1.0pt84.6%

Hike 25bps

12.5%

Cut >25bps

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (50)Spread sconosciutoAlta liquidità

Volume totale93,3K USD

Volume 24h889,2 USD

KALSHI

Swiss National Bank rate decision in September

14g

Hike 1-25bps

13%

Cut more than 25bps

Cut 1-25bps

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (53)Spread moderatoBassa liquidità

Volume totale2,3K USD

Volume 24h2,3K USD

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

12.0 pt (24h)18g

Hike 1-25bps

+12.0pt69.1%

Maintain current rate

-11.0pt28.2%

Cut more than 25bps

0.9%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (66)Spread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale65,8K USD

Volume 24h582 USD

KALSHI

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change

-0.5pt82%

25 bps increase

18%

50+ bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (69)Spread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale76,7K USD

Volume 24h416,5 USD

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)

10m

H 0

78.3%

C 25

8.3%

H 25

-3.0pt6.2%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (53)Spread sconosciutoAlta liquidità

Volume 24h1,8K USD

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

0.1 pt (24h)1m

No Change

-0.1pt89%

25 bps increase

+0.9pt11%

50+ bps increase

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (72)Spread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale55,8K USD

Volume 24h408,8 USD

POLYMARKET

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September

Cut 25bps

+1.0pt97%

Hike 50bps

21%

Cut 50bps

11%

+4 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (40)Spread sconosciutoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale53,3K USD

Volume 24h393 USD

KALSHI

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

5.5 pt (24h)3m

-5.5pt64.4%

Sì

+5.5pt35.6%

Bassa qualità (46)Spread ampioBassa liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale21,7K USD

Volume 24h509,4 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

0.3 pt (24h)1m

25 bps decrease

+0.5pt60.2%

No Change

-1.0pt35%

50+ bps decrease

+0.3pt4.8%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (62)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale14,2K USD

Volume 24h539,7 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

2.0 pt (24h)3m

Exactly 2.25%

-1.0pt56%

Exactly 2.50%

+2.0pt31.9%

Exactly 2.00%

4.3%

+5 altri esiti

Qualità media (57)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale13,7K USD

Volume 24h316,7 USD

KALSHI

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change

+0.5pt75%

25 bps hike

22.1%

50+ bps cut

+2 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmNo Change78%· 1 pt di scarto tra venue

Qualità media (65)Spread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale10,7K USD

Volume 24h274,5 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

0.6 pt (24h)5g

25 bps decrease

+0.3pt98%

No Change

+0.6pt2%

50+ bps increase

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (63)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale135,4K USD

Volume 24h121,8 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Korea rate decision in October

8.0 pt (24h)1m

Cut more than 25bps

98%

Maintain current rate

79%

Hike 1-25bps

+8.0pt28%

+2 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (49)Spread moderatoBassa liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale1,9K USD

Volume 24h301 USD

KALSHI

Hungary rate decision in September

8.0 pt (24h)12g

Maintain current rate

84.8%

Cut 25bps

+8.0pt9.1%

Hike 25bps

+4 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (46)Spread sconosciutoLiquidità media

Volume totale40,3K USD

Volume 24h200 USD

KALSHI

Bank of England rate decision in September

Maintain current rate

94.1%

Hike 1-25bps

-3.0pt3%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (65)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale27,5K USD

Volume 24h125,4 USD

KALSHI

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

No Change

40.2%

25 bps increase

34%

25 bps decrease

14.4%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (56)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale432,2 USD

Volume 24h432,2 USD

POLYMARKET

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)3m

Exactly 0ㅤ

+1.0pt89.4%

Exactly 1ㅤ

-4.0pt6.7%

Exactly 2ㅤ

+3 altri esiti

Qualità media (60)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale21,9K USD

Volume 24h117,5 USD

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

5.0 pt (24h)1m

Maintain current rate

+5.0pt82.5%

Hike 1-25bps

13.6%

Hike more than 25bps

1.9%

+2 altri esiti

Qualità media (54)Spread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale4,1K USD

Volume 24h217 USD

KALSHI

European Central Bank rate decision in December

63.0 pt (24h)3m

Maintain current rate

57%

Cut 1-25bps

31%

Hike 1-25bps

28%

+2 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (41)Spread moderatoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale226,4 USD

Volume 24h115 USD

KALSHI

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

0.1 pt (24h)4m

3.1%+

+0.1pt84.4%

2.8-3.0%

+0.3pt9.4%

1.0–1.2%

3.1%

+6 altri esiti

Qualità media (68)Spread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale112,4K USD

Volume 24h60,3 USD

POLYMARKET

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

3.0 pt (24h)3m

Exactly 5 cuts

36.1%

7 or more cuts

-3.0pt35%

Exactly 6 cuts

-3.0pt25.8%

+3 altri esiti

Qualità media (66)Spread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale96,7K USD

Volume 24h14,3 USD

KALSHI

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

92%

Sì

Bassa qualità (≤49)Spread moderatoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale131,8K USD

Volume 24h—

KALSHI

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

98%

Sì

Bassa qualità (≤49)Spread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale56,1K USD

Volume 24h—

KALSHI

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

3.0–3.4%

34.7%

2.5–2.9%

24.5%

2.0–2.4%

16.3%

+5 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (≤49)Spread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale43,9K USD

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

ECB rate cut in 2026?

95%

Sì

Bassa qualità (≤49)Spread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale32K USD

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

3.5 pt (24h)3m

-3.5pt62%

Sì

+3.5pt38%

Bassa qualità (34)Spread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale21,6K USD

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change

51%

25 bps hike

-2.5pt41.2%

25 bps cut

-6.6pt4.9%

+2 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (≤49)Spread moderatoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale13,5K USD

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate decision in December

8.0 pt (24h)3m

Maintain current rate

-8.0pt30.3%

Hike 1-25bps

29.4%

Cut 1-25bps

25.7%

+2 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (40)Spread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale4,2K USD

Volume 24h56,2 USD

KALSHI

Bank of England rate decision in November

26.0 pt (24h)1m

Maintain current rate

81%

Hike 1-25bps

+26.0pt44%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (31)Spread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale6,2K USD

Volume 24h10 USD

KALSHI

South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?

13g

Increase

46.3%

No Change

40.5%

Decrease

+3.0pt13.2%

Bassa qualità (30)Spread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale3,4K USD

Volume 24h33,5 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan rate decision in October

Maintain current rate

77.5%

Hike 25bps

19.6%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (≤49)Spread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale6,1K USD

Volume 24h—

KALSHI

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026

Above 4.8%

93%

Above 5.2%

78%

Above 5.4%

64%

+5 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (41)Spread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale6K USD

Volume 24h—

KALSHI

European Central Bank rate decision in October

Maintain current rate

81.1%

Hike 1-25bps

8.5%

Cut 1-25bps

5.7%

+2 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (≤49)Spread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale4,4K USD

Volume 24h—

KALSHI

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September

13g

Hike 1-25bps

52.8%

Maintain current rate

36.8%

Cut 1-25bps

6.4%

+2 altri esiti

Bassa qualità (20)Spread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale3,5K USD

Volume 24h—

KALSHI

Asset Cripto Correlati

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

Bank of Japan rate decision in September

European Central Bank rate decision in September

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Czech National Bank rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Bank of England decision in September?

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Swiss National Bank rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Bank of Korea decision in October?

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

Bank of Korea rate decision in October

Hungary rate decision in September

Bank of England rate decision in September

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

European Central Bank rate decision in December

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Bank of Korea decision in November?

Bank of England rate decision in December

Bank of England rate decision in November

South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?

Bank of Japan rate decision in October

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026

European Central Bank rate decision in October

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September

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