Central Banks

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

0.8%4g

No change

+0.8%98%

25 bps increase

-0.8%2%

50+ bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale315,3K USD

Volume 24h15,4K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan rate decision in July

1.0%4g

Maintain current rate

+2.0%97%

Hike 25bps

-1.0%3%

Hike more than 25bps

+2 altri esiti

73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale115,9K USD

Volume 24h10,9K USD

KALSHI

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

4.3%8g

25 bps decrease

-1.0%79%

No Change

-4.3%17%

50+ bps decrease

+2.1%3%

+2 altri esiti

80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquidità

Volume totale162,4K USD

Volume 24h3,1K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate decision in July

Maintain current rate

+2.0%99%

Hike 1-25bps

+1.0%7%

Cut 1-25bps

+2 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale68,5K USD

Volume 24h4,2K USD

KALSHI

Bank of Canada Decision in September?

8.4%1m

No Change

+8.4%91%

25 bps increase

-4.4%9%

50+ bps increase

+0.7%1%

+2 altri esiti

91 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale13,4K USD

Volume 24h4K USD

POLYMARKET

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

1.0%2a

94%

Sì

+1.0%6%

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale126K USD

Volume 24h443,7 USD

KALSHI

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

0.5%1m

25 bps increase

-0.5%79%

No change

11%

50+ bps increase

+0.3%3%

+2 altri esiti

91 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale141K USD

Volume 24h358 USD

POLYMARKET

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

19.5%3m

3.0–3.4%

+19.5%43%

2.5–2.9%

-2.0%22%

2.0–2.4%

-13.0%14%

+5 altri esiti

80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale2K USD

Volume 24h2K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in September?

1.9%1m

No change

-2.5%63%

25 bps increase

+1.9%37%

50+ bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale64,5K USD

Volume 24h1K USD

POLYMARKET

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in August

8.0%10g

Cut 25bps

-8.0%79%

Maintain current rate

-2.0%17%

Cut more than 50bp

+4 altri esiti

79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale27K USD

Volume 24h1,2K USD

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

2.5%15g

No change

+2.5%65%

25 bps increase

+1.9%35%

25 bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale33,8K USD

Volume 24h458,5 USD

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of India decision in August

5.5%9g

No Change

-5.5%63%

Increase

24%

Decrease

+4.0%11%

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale6,7K USD

Volume 24h1,1K USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

4.0%1m

No change

+4.0%76%

25 bps increase

-5.0%22%

50+ bps increase

-0.1%1%

+2 altri esiti

79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale84,1K USD

Volume 24h700 USD

POLYMARKET

Ecusfed 26 OCT

H 0

58%

H 25

29%

C 25

+2 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,7K USD

Volume 24h1,7K USD

ROTHERA

US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?

9.0%4g

5%+

95%

6%+

+1.0%95%

7%+

+9.0%71%

+3 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale9,5K USD

Volume 24h937 USD

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August

6.0%9g

Maintain current rate

-6.0%63%

Hike 1-25bps

-2.0%17%

Cut 1-25bps

-1.0%6%

+2 altri esiti

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale7,4K USD

Volume 24h829 USD

KALSHI

Ecusfed 27 JUL

H 0

73%

H 25

C 25

+2 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale673 USD

Volume 24h673 USD

ROTHERA

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

1.0%5m

-0.0%64%

Sì

+0.0%36%

36 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale46,2K USD

Volume 24h577,7 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in July?

0.4%3g

No change

+0.4%99%

25 bps increase

-0.3%1%

50+ bps decrease

+2 altri esiti

71 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale79,9K USD

Volume 24h105 USD

POLYMARKET

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

93.7%

Sì

6.3%

Previsione della comunità18 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Interest rates above 10% before 2030?

82.1%

Sì

17.9%

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which design proposal will the ECB select for the next series of euro banknotes?

H — Atelier Goppel-Toperngpong

+10.0%19.4%

I — Isabelle Daëron

+5.8%15.2%

E — Myrsini Vardopoulou

+1.5%11%

+8 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità5 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

2.0%3m

No change

+2.0%59%

25 bps increase

-11.0%12%

50+ bps decrease

-1.0%9%

+2 altri esiti

71 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale348,9 USD

Volume 24h136,7 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada decision in Sep 2026?

1.0%1m

Maintains rate

+1.0%86%

Hike 25bps

10%

Cut 25bps

+2 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale2,5K USD

Volume 24h216 USD

KALSHI

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

86.2%

Sì

13.8%

Previsione della comunità26 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which central banks will hike before 2027?

European Central Bank

99%

Bank of Japan

99%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand

99%

+7 altri esiti

71 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale42,3K USD

Volume 24h67 USD

KALSHI

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

98%

Sì

40 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale53K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Lisa Cook departure announced?

Before Jan 2027

Before Sep 1, 2026

40 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale43,4K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

0.1%1m

No Change

-1.0%49%

25 bps decrease

-0.2%48%

25 bps increase

+0.1%5%

+2 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale27,3K USD

Volume 24h23,2 USD

POLYMARKET

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

1.5%5m

-0.0%79%

Sì

+0.0%22%

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale17,3K USD

Volume 24h39,5 USD

POLYMARKET

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

3.1%+

-1.4%32%

2.8-3.0%

-0.5%31%

2.5–2.7%

-1.9%22%

+6 altri esiti

40 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale28,9K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 4 cuts

50%

Exactly 5 cuts

36%

Exactly 3 cuts

+3 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale25,6K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in August

15g

Maintain current rate

62%

Hike 1-25bps

33%

Cut 1-25bps

+2 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale22,2K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Bank of Korea decision in August?

30g

No Change

+0.5%75%

25 bps hike

+0.5%26%

25 bps cut

+0.4%2%

+2 altri esiti

40 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale11,4K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September

2.0%1m

Hike 1-25bps

+2.0%94%

Hike more than 25bps

Maintain current rate

+2 altri esiti

60 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale12,5K USD

Volume 24h1,1 USD

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

Increase

89%

No Change

-1.0%5%

Decrease

+0.1%3%

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale5,6K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

0.9%3m

No Change

82%

25 bps increase

+1.5%9%

50+ bps increase

-0.9%8%

+2 altri esiti

40 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale2,3K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

ECB rate cut in 2026?

2.5%5m

-0.0%88%

Sì

+0.0%13%

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale30,4K USD

Volume 24h25 USD

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

0.5%5m

74%

Sì

+0.0%27%

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale17,3K USD

Volume 24h36 USD

POLYMARKET

Who will be the next England Test Captain

10m

Other

53.6%

Bethell

25.7%

Brook

12.5%

+1 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità3 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026

17.0%4g

Above 1.0%

97%

Above 0.5%

93%

Above 2.0%

47%

+4 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale5,3K USD

Volume 24h9,1 USD

KALSHI

When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)

>2026

78.2%

2026

15.7%

2025

4.6%

+2 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità21 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0ㅤ

93%

Exactly 1ㅤ

15%

Exactly 2ㅤ

+3 altri esiti

40 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale5,2K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Maintains rate

78%

Cut 25bps

Hike 25bps

+2 altri esiti

28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale6,4K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

76.5%

Sì

23.5%

Previsione della comunità17 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next target for the Bank of Japan’s interest rate (July)

Maintain the same rate

97%

Rise by 0.5% or more

Rise by 0.25%

+1 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale585,9 USD

Volume 24h0 USD

FUTUUR

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Exactly 2.25%

47%

Exactly 2.50%

35%

Exactly 3.25%

+5 altri esiti

24 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale1,6K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Number of Central Bank Digital Coins (CBDC) in the world at the end of 2026

3 or less

45%

4 or 5

33%

6 or 7

18%

+1 altri esiti

28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale11,7 USD

Volume 24h0 USD

FUTUUR

Asset Cripto Correlati

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan rate decision in July

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Bank of England rate decision in July

Bank of Canada Decision in September?

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

Bank of England decision in September?

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in August

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

Reserve Bank of India decision in August

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

Ecusfed 26 OCT

US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August

Ecusfed 27 JUL

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England decision in July?

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

Interest rates above 10% before 2030?

Which design proposal will the ECB select for the next series of euro banknotes?

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Bank of Canada decision in Sep 2026?

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Which central banks will hike before 2027?

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in August

Bank of Korea decision in August?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Who will be the next England Test Captain

US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026

When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Next target for the Bank of Japan’s interest rate (July)

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Number of Central Bank Digital Coins (CBDC) in the world at the end of 2026