KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Maintain current rate 81.1%In testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
25 ago 26, 18:00 UTC29 ott 26, 13:14 UTC
Trend
Regole
If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Central Banks
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt97%
- No change+0.6pt2%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 588,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 39,7K €
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 70,8K €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0-1.0pt63%
- H 2525.9%
- C 25-1.0pt5.6%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 12,6K €
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-0.6pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.3pt3%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 144,6K €
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- Kalshi quota Maintain current rate al 81% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- European Central Bank rate decision in October dovrebbe risolversi il 29 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.