PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No change 81.2%-9.0ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
22,3K €
Liquidità
19,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+5.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
24 lug 26, 16:03 UTC29 ott 26, 11:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: September 2026
LimitlessWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold Markets🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — European Central Bank rate decision in October · Maintain current rate 81%
Mercati aperti
Central BanksPOLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 435,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4K €
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 78,1K €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 41,2K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,1K €
- Volume 24h
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per ECB Interest Rates: October 2026?
- Polymarket quota No change al 81% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve ECB Interest Rates: October 2026?
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 29 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato ECB Interest Rates: October 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Dove altro è quotato ECB Interest Rates: October 2026?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.