PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 31 ago 2026, 14:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No change 53.5%-14.5ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8K €
Liquidità
18,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-42.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 4:293 nov 26, 23:59
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 2-3, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Mercati aperti
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 067.9%
- H 25-1.0pt24.5%
- C 25-1.0pt2.8%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 11,8K €
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt98%
- No change+0.3pt2%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts-24.0pt44%
- 7 or more cuts18%
- Exactly 6 cuts+6.0pt16%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,3K €
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps-3.0pt93.2%
- Maintain current rate+2.0pt2.9%
- Cut more than 25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,6K €
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt79.1%
- Maintain current rate+10.0pt18.2%
- Hike more than 25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- H 079.6%
- H 257.1%
- C 257.1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3K €
- Bank of Korea decision in November?
- Bank of Korea decision in October?
- Bank of Japan Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Sep 2026?
- Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Poland rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November?
- Polymarket quota No change al 54% al 31 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.