Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
4.5 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaCentral BanksEuropeMacro & Economy3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 69.3%-4.5pt
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
258,1 €
Liquidità
781 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
30.0% / 31.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
5
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
24 feb 26, 01:26 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.