Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FedOne-OffPoliticaEuropaBanche centrali2m
FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 68%
Sì 68%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
959,4 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
10
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
Trend
Regole
This event predicts whether Christine Lagarde will remain in office as President of the European Central Bank (ECB) through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official European Central Bank press releases or European Council announcements confirming the ECB presidency.
- If Christine Lagarde officially remains ECB President through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If she resigns, is replaced, or otherwise ceases to hold the presidency before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of official confirmation, regardless of caretaker arrangements.
- If official ECB records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major European news organizations.
