PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
25 bps increase 70.8%+21.5ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,4K €
Liquidità
2,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
18 set 26, 23:57 UTC18 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketBank of Japan Decision in October?
LimitlessBank of Japan rate decision in October
KalshiWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026
FutuurWill the Bank of Japan leave the rate unchanged at the October 30, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExRegole
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- H 077%
- H 2621%
- H 2513%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,5K €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in November?
- 25 bps hike-9.0pt53.9%
- No Change+8.0pt41.2%
- 50+ bps hike+1.1pt3.9%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETSwiss National Bank decision in September?
- No Change100%
- 50+ bps increase0%
- 25 bps increase0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,4K €
KALSHICentral Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
- Cut 1-25bps57%
- Maintain current rate-31.0pt6%
- Hike 1-25bps2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,7K €
KALSHIHungary rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-1.0pt88.7%
- Cut more than 50bps+2.0pt2.8%
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+1.0pt82.3%
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt16.7%
- 50+ bps increase-2.0pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Bank of Japan rate decision in October
- Sweden rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in December?
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Swiss National Bank rate decision in September
- Bank of Brazil decision in December?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- Polymarket quota 25 bps increase al 71% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- Bank of Japan Decision in December? dovrebbe risolversi il 18 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Dove altro è quotato Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.