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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Fed
  3. ECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

0.5% (24h)FedOne-OffEuropeCentral Banks6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 14%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

1,5K €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

13.0% / 15.0%

Spread

15.4%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+0.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

23 dic 25, 22:4631 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes14%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.53%EthereumETH$1,661.11+1.78%SolanaSOL$65.42+1.74%

Mercati Correlati

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

2,8K €
No change: 96%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?

Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?

0 €
Isabel Schnabel: 98%PredictItPREDICTIT
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

16 €
3.1%+: 59%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting?

99 €
Sì: 6.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

0 €
Sì: 7.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%BNBBNB$597.15+1.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%CardanoADA$0.1654+2.63%HyperliquidHYPE$56.06+0.99%LitecoinLTC$42.70+0.46%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain ReporterBitcoin price falls below $60K as hot U.S. jobs report crushes rate cut hopesCrypto News

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.