KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Reserve Bank of New Zealand 99%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,7K €
Liquidità
23,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 39 minuti fa
15 mag 26, 21:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal ReserveEuropean Central BankBank of EnglandBank of JapanBank of CanadaReserve Bank of AustraliaReserve Bank of New ZealandNorges BankRiksbankSwiss National Bank
- A rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting.
- Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.
- The market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.
- If the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.
- If the the named outcome raising the Bank Rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 59,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+6.0pt51.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45.7%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt50.2%
- Fed maintains rate-5.0pt44%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 247,7K €
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before July 2027+2.0pt80%
- Before 2028-1.0pt80%
- Before 2027+7.0pt71%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt66.3%
- No-1.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 7,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 43,9K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.4pt88%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt8%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt3%
+10 altri esiti
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed decision in September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which central banks will hike before 2027??
- Kalshi quota Reserve Bank of New Zealand al 99% al 31 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which central banks will hike before 2027??
- Which central banks will hike before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which central banks will hike before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.