KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeHike >25bps 3%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,6K €
Liquidità
232,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
29 set 25, 14:0016 set 26, 17:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Hike >25bps3%
Confronta le piattaforme· Hike 25bps
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto93% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 54% | — | 35,9K € | 517,9K € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Media | 49% | — | 1,6K € | 232,7K € | 15 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Fed Decision in September?
1m
54%
41%
-0.1%4%
+2 altri esiti
100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale3,8 Mln €
Volume 24h35,9K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$2.6k41.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthteller15 h fa
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthteller15 h fa$1.5k97.0%KALSHIHike >25bps — Noieri
KALSHIHike >25bps — Noieri$1.1k53.2%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahl’altro ieri
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahl’altro ieri$2.0k44.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaul5 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaul5 gg fa$2.1k96.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefung9 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefung9 gg fa$3.0k61.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRisk10 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRisk10 gg fa$1.8k38.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgil12 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgil12 gg fa$1.1k59.8%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr197017 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr197017 gg faTrend del volume
$1.8k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
375K €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
6,4 €Fed maintains rate: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Jan 2028?
0 €Cut >25bps: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.