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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Fed
  3. Fed decision in Sep 2026?
Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Fed decision in Sep 2026?

2.0% (24h)FedOne-Off3m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Hike 25bps
Hike 25bps 16%-2.0%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

10,2 €

Liquidità

231,7 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

18.0% / 20.0%

Spread

11.1%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

29 set 25, 14:0016 set 26, 17:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Hike 25bps16%

Regole

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is mutually exclusive.
  • Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
  • Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
  • Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
  • If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%

Mercati Correlati

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

8,4K €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

960,5 €
Cut 25bps: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

1,6 €
Cut 25bps: 12%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

0,1 €
Cut 25bps: 8%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

0,1 €
Hike 25bps: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

0,1 €
Cut >25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.64%BNBBNB$595.40+1.66%XRPXRP$1.12+0.27%CardanoADA$0.1657+3.13%HyperliquidHYPE$54.92-0.62%LitecoinLTC$42.68+0.67%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Regole

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is mutually exclusive.
  • Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
  • Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
  • Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
  • If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.