KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore 2027 67%-3.0%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
100 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
10K €
Liquidità
1,4 Mln €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
67.0% / 68.0%
Spread
1.5%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 minuti fa
19 mar 25, 23:301 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before 202767%
Grandi operazioni
$1.9k57.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — Yes9 gg fa
KALSHIBefore 2027 — Yes9 gg fa$2.4k54.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — Yes9 gg fa
KALSHIBefore 2027 — Yes9 gg fa$1.2k57.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No10 gg fa
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No10 gg fa$1.6k55.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No10 gg fa
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No10 gg fa$1.1k29.0%KALSHIBefore July 2027 — No12 gg fa
KALSHIBefore July 2027 — No12 gg faTrend del volume
$11.4k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
358,3K €Fed maintains rate: 78%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
51,2K €Sì: 72%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
48K €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
31,3K €Volatility: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,6K €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8K €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.