KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%
Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
121,3 €
Liquidità
29,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
4.2% / 6.9%
Spread
2.7 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
21 nov 24, 15:00 UTC20 gen 29, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
KalshiRegole
If a bill has become law which has abolished or dissolved the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and its constituent reserve banks before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill need not take effect before January 20, 2029 to be included in the Payout Criterion.
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 96,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,4 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 37,4 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 384,1K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 80,4K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump end the Federal Reserve??
- Kalshi quota No al 96% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump end the Federal Reserve??
- Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump end the Federal Reserve??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a bill has become law which has abolished or dissolved the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and its constituent reserve banks before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.