KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
0.4% / 3.2%
Spread
2.8 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
21 nov 24, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
100%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurRegole
If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 96,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,4 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 37,4 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 384,1K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 80,4K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027??
- Kalshi quota No al 100% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027??
- Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.