Inflation

No change

+5.5%79%

25 bps increase

-5.9%20%

50+ bps increase

1%

+2 altri esiti

Above 3.0%

-5.0%92%

Above 3.1%

-6.0%90%

Above 3.2%

-8.0%80%

+18 altri esiti

October Meeting

+0.5%69%

September Meeting

61%

July Meeting

-4.2%20%

+2 altri esiti

Above -0.4%

+1.0%98%

Above -0.3%

97%

Above -0.2%

-7.0%88%

+7 altri esiti

3.3%

-1.0%37%

3.4%

37%

3.5%

20%

+9 altri esiti

At least 4.0%

100%

At least 4.5%

-2.9%35%

At least 5.0%

21%

+4 altri esiti

Above 320ㅤ

99%

Above 300ㅤ

96%

Above 310ㅤ

96%

+24 altri esiti

Above 0.0%

97%

Above 0.1%

-1.0%71%

Above 0.2%

-1.0%4%

+2 altri esiti

≥0.1%

+3.0%68%

0.0%

26%

-0.1%

-0.3%7%

+6 altri esiti

2 (50

-0.5%33%

0 (0

+1.0%30%

1 (25

30%

+3 altri esiti

Exactly 3.3%

34%

Exactly 3.4%

31%

Exactly 3.5%

25%

+23 altri esiti

Republican president, >= 2%, <3%

+28.5%52.3%

Republican president, <2%

-4.5%23.2%

Republican president, >= 3%, <4%

-10.3%14.9%

+5 altri esiti

Above 4.1%

99%

Above 3.8%

93%

Above 3.9%

93%

+10 altri esiti

Soft Landing

+1.5%60%

Overheating

+2.0%26%

Stagflation

+0.5%14%

+1 altri esiti

Soft landing

+2.4%62%

Overheating

-5.5%20%

Stagflation

12%

+1 altri esiti

Above 2.1%

+1.0%98%

Above 2.2%

86%

Above 2.3%

80%

+12 altri esiti

Above 6.5%

100%

Above 6.6%

97%

Above 6.7%

77%

+3 altri esiti

↑ $4.00

+41.5%100%

↑ $3.90

+15.4%100%

↑ $4.25

-28.0%8%

+8 altri esiti

4.00% to 4.49%

+7.5%42%

4.50% to 4.99%

+8.0%22%

3.50% to 3.99%

-4.0%19%

+5 altri esiti

4.1-4.4%

+0.6%31%

3.8-4.1%

-1.4%18%

3.2-3.5%

+0.8%9%

+7 altri esiti

2.4%

+11.0%48%

2.5%

-1.0%24%

≤2.2%

-0.1%13%

+7 altri esiti

Exactly -0.2%

88%

Exactly 0.1%

29%

Exactly 0.0%

-1.0%28%

+7 altri esiti

0.0

98%

0.1

67%

0.4

8%

+2 altri esiti

3.5–3.9%

+2.4%34%

2.5–2.9%

+0.3%22%

4.0-4.4%

-1.0%9%

+6 altri esiti

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)

+1.2%99%

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

-1.0%0.3%

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

-0.1%0.2%

+3 altri esiti

0.6 – 1.0%

43%

1.1 – 1.5%

43%

1.6 – 2.0%

+0.2%8%

+6 altri esiti

y ≥ 2.0%

100%

y ≥ 2.5%

100%

y ≥ 3.0%

100%

+6 altri esiti

Silicon Data

+3.4%44%

Ornn

-1.8%23.8%

SemiAnalysis

-0.8%12.2%

+5 altri esiti

Alphabet

+6.6%95.4%

NVIDIA

94.6%

Microsoft

+5.7%90.2%

+4 altri esiti

Above 3%

+1.4%100%

Above 4%

+2.0%100%

Above 3.5%

+0.1%100%

+5 altri esiti

Exactly 2.4%

38%

Exactly 2.5%

26%

Exactly 2.3%

+4.0%12%

+13 altri esiti

5.00-5.49%

-0.1%39%

4.50-4.99%

26%

5.50-5.99%

-1.6%12%

+7 altri esiti

Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: Exactly 0.2%

20%

Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: 0.1% or below

14%

Headline: Exactly 0.0%, Core: Exactly 0.2%

13%

+12 altri esiti

He comes to the US and meets the US president in the white house and a picture is released

100%

He leaves Argentina during his first term

100%

He travels to Chile during his first term

100%

+67 altri esiti

0.2%

34%

0.1%

26%

0.3%

-0.1%25%

+4 altri esiti

$2.00–$2.25

81%

$2.25–$2.50

12%

$1.75–$2.00

9%

+7 altri esiti

After 2050

50%

Before 2050

48.8%

Before 2045

45%

+7 altri esiti

Above 335.8

98%

Above 333.6

88%

Above 334.0

55%

+9 altri esiti

Above 3.0%

97%

Above 3.1%

+1.0%96%

Above 3.2%

+6.0%95%

+23 altri esiti

30.0-34.9%

+0.1%42%

25-29.9%

+0.5%36%

35–39.9%

+0.3%6%

+4 altri esiti