KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Above 0.4% (71%)
Risolto: 10 giu 2026, 13:35
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
Above 0.4%
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
79%
ConsensoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 0.1% 99%In testa tra 14 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
51,4K €
Liquidità
2,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 83 giorni fa
Obsoleto18 mar 26, 17:0010 giu 26, 12:25
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Above 0.4%71%
Above 0.1%99%
Above 0.6%7%
Above 0.5%20%
Above 0.7%3%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
97%
95%
71%
20%
7%
2%
2%
1%
1%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.3% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (June 10, 2026).
- Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.2% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt58.8%
- No change-1.0pt39.2%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 65,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting-1.0pt67%
- September Meeting59%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-3.5pt70.3%
- No+3.5pt29.7%
- Volume totale
- 7,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 62,6K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 302K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4K €
KALSHIWhat will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook?
- Inflation99%
- Labor / Job92%
- Tariff89%
+15 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,5K €
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.300-1.0pt98%
- Above 334.450+4.0pt98%
- Above 334.35097%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 74,6K €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Brazil inflation rate in August
- China Annual Inflation 2026
- August Inflation US - Annual
- US gasoline CPI for August
- CPI in August
- Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
- Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per CPI in May?
- Kalshi quota Above 0.1% al 99% al 10 giugno 2026.
- Quando si risolve CPI in May?
- CPI in May dovrebbe risolversi il 10 giugno 2026.
- Come viene liquidato CPI in May?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.3% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.