KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 2.2% 97%In testa tra 15 esiti
Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
269,9 €
Liquidità
269,9 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
33.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
17 set 26, 16:00 UTC13 gen 27, 13:25 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketWill US core inflation be above UK core inflation in September?
KalshiPoland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
InflationKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 265,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 76,3K €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 157,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 36,4K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-4.5pt61.4%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.5pt18.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+4.4pt17.8%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+4.0pt83.2%
- No-4.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 33,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 31,4K €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-0.5pt41%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+4.5pt24%
- Hike–Hike–Hike-5.0pt20%
+6 altri esiti
- Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI core in October
- September Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- September Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI core in September
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)?
- Kalshi quota Above 2.2% al 97% al 18 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)?
- Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) dovrebbe risolversi il 13 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.