KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 0.1% 98%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualita del mercato
23 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
8,5 €
Liquidità
221,6 €
Bassa liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
10 giu 26, 20:0010 nov 26, 13:25
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 36,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume totale
- 6,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 64,4K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 106,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 45,6K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIHow high will inflation get this year?
- At least 4.5%-4.8pt25%
- At least 5.5%-5.0pt17%
- At least 5.0%-8.2pt13%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 371,5K €
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per CPI core in October?
- Kalshi quota Above 0.1% al 98% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve CPI core in October?
- CPI core in October dovrebbe risolversi il 10 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato CPI core in October?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.