KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 4.5% 26%+0.8ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,2K €
Liquidità
197,9K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
8.6 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 minuti fa
19 mar 26, 16:0014 feb 27, 13:29
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
KALSHIUS electricity price in August
- Above 19.2¢+3.0pt99%
- Above 19.4¢+2.0pt93%
- Above 19.6¢56%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 35,5K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-1.0pt55.5%
- No+1.0pt44.5%
- Volume totale
- 6,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11,5K €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+3.0pt67%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Other-2.0pt32%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting-1.0pt32%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 0 (0+4.0pt45.1%
- 1 (25-1.0pt38.2%
- 2 (50-0.5pt14.7%
+3 altri esiti
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How high will inflation get this year??
- Kalshi quota At least 4.5% al 26% al 22 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve How high will inflation get this year??
- How high will inflation get this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 14 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How high will inflation get this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato How high will inflation get this year??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.