KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 0.0% 98%+3.0ptIn testa tra 13 esiti
Qualita del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,2K €
Liquidità
4,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
29 lug 26, 23:001 feb 28, 4:59
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- The initially reported value for December 2027 will be used.
- This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2027, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt33%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 116,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 11,4K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Volume totale
- 6,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 10,8K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 120,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8K €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Monthly
- 0.4%42.2%
- 0.3%+3.0pt28.4%
- ≥0.5%-11.5pt10.8%
+6 altri esiti
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- CPI-U index in August
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US headline CPI inflation in December 2027?
- Kalshi quota Above 0.0% al 98% al 26 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve US headline CPI inflation in December 2027?
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato US headline CPI inflation in December 2027?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.