KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 98%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
19,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
0.6% / 1.0%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
6 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill credit card rates be capped in 2026?
KalshiECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Federal Reserve sets the target federal funds rate range to 0.00-0.25%, or lower, before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 35 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will rates hit zero in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 98% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will rates hit zero in 2026??
- Will rates hit zero in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will rates hit zero in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Federal Reserve sets the target federal funds rate range to 0.00-0.25%, or lower, before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.