LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale
No change 83.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
No change 83.5%Qualità del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
10 ago 26, 08:20 UTC28 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "the named outcome" bracket.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
3 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per No change è del 84%. Lo scarto tra piattaforme è di circa 1 punto percentuale. Le piattaforme non concordano su quale esito sia in vantaggio.
Riferimento CoinRithm No change 84% · 3 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Fed decision in October? · No change 83%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — October 2026 · No change 81%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 81%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in October 2026 · Fed maintains rate 80%
- Disponibile anche su Gemini — Fed decision in October? ·
