KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Exactly 2 56.6%-4.0ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
10,1K €
Liquidità
18K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
15 set 26, 17:00 UTC3 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve
- Please note the following definition of a "rate hike": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points.
- An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes.
- An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Number of rate hikes in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Exactly 2 al 57% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Number of rate hikes in 2026??
- Number of rate hikes in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Number of rate hikes in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.